According to the SBI Research research, COVID-19 instances might begin to rise by the second week of August, with peak cases at least a month later.
According to research by the State Bank of India (SBI), India might witness the much-feared third wave of the coronavirus pandemic starting in the middle of August, with COVID-19 infections peaking in September, while the country is still fighting the second wave.
“According to current estimates, India might see about 10,000 COVID-19 cases each day around the second week of July. However, instances may begin to rise as early as the second week of August, with peak occurrences occurring at least a month later “Soumya Kanti Ghosh, SBI’s Group Chief Economic Adviser, stated in the study.
According to the study, forecasts are based on “historical tendencies,” and the country reached the second wave’s high on May 7.
According to the SBI study, worldwide data reveals that peak COVID-19 cases during the third wave of the pandemic are nearly twice (1.7 times) those from the second wave.
The only hope, according to the paper, is COVID-19 immunization. According to the report, India has begun delivering around 40 million vaccination doses each day.
According to the latest preliminary information from the Union Health Ministry, more than 45.82 lakh vaccination doses were provided throughout the country on July 5. According to the report, the total number of COVID-19 vaccine doses delivered in the country has now reached 35.75 crores.
The SBI study comes just days after a government group charged with modeling COVID-19 cases stated that if COVID-appropriate behavior is not followed, the probable third wave of coronavirus pandemic infection might peak between October and November.